mike cunningham
Freedom 30 "Jacqueline"
El Niño
What are the SHTP weather implications of a strong el niño in 2016?
What are the SHTP weather implications of a strong el niño in 2016?
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El Niño
- Thread starter mike cunningham
- Start date
hodgmo
Still Floating
Deja vu all over again? See similar 2014 thread: http://sfbaysss.org/forum/showthread.php?1264-El-Nino-this-summer&highlight=nino
Robert Stodieck
New member
Too early to call I think. El Niño could be history by July 2016. The Pacific Decadal Oscillation maybe more important, but it is equally volatile. An interesting history of PDO index points is here: http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest
Interesting PDO index points;
1983 July 3.51
1993 July 2.35
1997 July 2.35
2015 July 1.84
The PDO index is high now but nothing stellar. The California floods of 1983 were the events that made El Niño a household word, but no one was looking at the "PDO" at the time. The term PDO and the indexes weren't coined until the late 1990s. Looking back, the July PDO index was off the chart in 1983.
It is likely that synchronization of the PDO and El Niño indexes are needed to produce really dangerous years.