Lucie Mewes
New member
Hey Danny ~ can you put the standings calcs into real time for dummies whose cancer drugs don't allow math...thanks, Lucie
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Race Progress
- Thread starter Eyrie
- Start date
6/29 0900 Predicted standings
Hi Lucie, I've added ETA's in hours for the 24hr predictions. Let me know if that is what you wanted.
Idefix still in the lead and seems to still be in pressure. Solar Wind also keeping its average up.
Looks like the RC has another 4-5 days of kicking back in Hanalei Bay.
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix 1152594.419 140.4651163
Solar Wind 1182374.545 178.1818182
Harrier 1193438.319 201.2773109
Dream Chaser 1198022.979 173.106383
Hecla 1245584.056 109.7622378
Culebra 1272913.383 190.3759398
Saraband 1276678.416 233.8217822
Pakele 1296624.779 213.4513274
Taz!! 1305999.07 200.744186
Southernaire 1412249.655 264.4137931
Warriors Wish 1553762.791 237.7674419
Bandicoot 1600261.053 281.8947368
Blue Moon 1661798.049 370.2439024
Second Verse 1772160 346.1333333
Name 24hr speed
Bandicoot 5.333333333
Blue Moon 4.458333333
Culebra 4.875
Dream Chaser 4.458333333
Harrier 4.208333333
Hecla 4.75
Idefix 5.833333333
Pakele 4.916666667
Saraband 4.416666667
Second Verse 4.208333333
Solar Wind 5.875
Southernaire 4.5
Taz!! 4.833333333
Warriors Wish 3.583333333
Hi Lucie, I've added ETA's in hours for the 24hr predictions. Let me know if that is what you wanted.
Idefix still in the lead and seems to still be in pressure. Solar Wind also keeping its average up.
Looks like the RC has another 4-5 days of kicking back in Hanalei Bay.
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix 1152594.419 140.4651163
Solar Wind 1182374.545 178.1818182
Harrier 1193438.319 201.2773109
Dream Chaser 1198022.979 173.106383
Hecla 1245584.056 109.7622378
Culebra 1272913.383 190.3759398
Saraband 1276678.416 233.8217822
Pakele 1296624.779 213.4513274
Taz!! 1305999.07 200.744186
Southernaire 1412249.655 264.4137931
Warriors Wish 1553762.791 237.7674419
Bandicoot 1600261.053 281.8947368
Blue Moon 1661798.049 370.2439024
Second Verse 1772160 346.1333333
Name 24hr speed
Bandicoot 5.333333333
Blue Moon 4.458333333
Culebra 4.875
Dream Chaser 4.458333333
Harrier 4.208333333
Hecla 4.75
Idefix 5.833333333
Pakele 4.916666667
Saraband 4.416666667
Second Verse 4.208333333
Solar Wind 5.875
Southernaire 4.5
Taz!! 4.833333333
Warriors Wish 3.583333333
BobJ
Alerion 38 "Surprise!"
Dinner Index
While we all appreciate Dan's careful analysis of finish times adjusted for zip code and shoe size, I have used my Cray supercomputer abacus to calculate the more important Dinner Index.
I'm happy to report that if all boats keep up their reported pace** they will arrive in time for the awards dinner. Blue Moon might make it in time for dessert if he finds that turbo mode. The dinner is in ten days.
Boat name and whole days to finish:
Bandicoot . . . . . 8
Blue Moon. . . . . 10
Culebra . . . . . . .6
Dream Chaser. . .8
Harrier . . . . . . . 6
Hecla . . . . . . . . 3
Idefix . . . . . . . . 4
Pakele . . . . . . . 8
Saraband . . . . . 8
Second Verse . . 9
Solar Wind . . . . 5
Southernaire . . .8
Taz!! . . . . . . . . 7
Warrior's Wish . .5
** Hmm, based on Travieso's subsequent post, it appears some of the reported speeds were a bit optimistic.
While we all appreciate Dan's careful analysis of finish times adjusted for zip code and shoe size, I have used my Cray supercomputer abacus to calculate the more important Dinner Index.
I'm happy to report that if all boats keep up their reported pace** they will arrive in time for the awards dinner. Blue Moon might make it in time for dessert if he finds that turbo mode. The dinner is in ten days.
Boat name and whole days to finish:
Bandicoot . . . . . 8
Blue Moon. . . . . 10
Culebra . . . . . . .6
Dream Chaser. . .8
Harrier . . . . . . . 6
Hecla . . . . . . . . 3
Idefix . . . . . . . . 4
Pakele . . . . . . . 8
Saraband . . . . . 8
Second Verse . . 9
Solar Wind . . . . 5
Southernaire . . .8
Taz!! . . . . . . . . 7
Warrior's Wish . .5
** Hmm, based on Travieso's subsequent post, it appears some of the reported speeds were a bit optimistic.
Last edited:
Robert Stodieck
New member
Looks like the winds will finally shape up today for the whole fleet, and the East Pac hurricanes have absolutely died.
6/29 2100 Predicted standings
Here comes the 'General'!
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix 1103737.021 114.893617
Harrier 1124754.504 170.1984733
Hecla 1142040 69
Solar Wind 1166997.612 161.9104478
Culebra 1215760 162.5
Dream Chaser 1231160 170.3111111
Taz!! 1253075.396 174.0431655
Saraband 1390659.326 253.4831461
Warriors Wish 1402292.308 183.6923077
Pakele 1437200 240.5
Southernaire 1486760 273.1111111
Bandicoot 1510756.129 245.0322581
Second Verse 1672884.124 306.556701
Blue Moon 1685400 364.8
Name 24hr speed
Bandicoot 5.166666667
Blue Moon 3.333333333
Culebra 6
Dream Chaser 5.625
Harrier 5.458333333
Hecla 8
Idefix 5.875
Pakele 4
Saraband 3.708333333
Second Verse 4.041666667
Solar Wind 5.583333333
Southernaire 4.5
Taz!! 5.791666667
Warriors Wish 4.333333333
Here comes the 'General'!
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix 1103737.021 114.893617
Harrier 1124754.504 170.1984733
Hecla 1142040 69
Solar Wind 1166997.612 161.9104478
Culebra 1215760 162.5
Dream Chaser 1231160 170.3111111
Taz!! 1253075.396 174.0431655
Saraband 1390659.326 253.4831461
Warriors Wish 1402292.308 183.6923077
Pakele 1437200 240.5
Southernaire 1486760 273.1111111
Bandicoot 1510756.129 245.0322581
Second Verse 1672884.124 306.556701
Blue Moon 1685400 364.8
Name 24hr speed
Bandicoot 5.166666667
Blue Moon 3.333333333
Culebra 6
Dream Chaser 5.625
Harrier 5.458333333
Hecla 8
Idefix 5.875
Pakele 4
Saraband 3.708333333
Second Verse 4.041666667
Solar Wind 5.583333333
Southernaire 4.5
Taz!! 5.791666667
Warriors Wish 4.333333333
6/30 0900 Predicted standings
No huge changes since last report. Taz looks to be picking up some speed, and Dream Chaser dropped a couple of spots.
WW went stealth for this report, so can't count him in this report.
Hecla is just a bit over 2 days out.
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix 1059781 90.6835443
Harrier 1089180 148.3165468
Hecla 1140212 56.49230769
Solar Wind 1154485 146.4347826
Culebra 1195240 144.8
Saraband 1214898 192.6605505
Taz!! 1239838 158.3661972
Dream Chaser 1250754 163.7538462
Blue Moon 1432920 282.6666667
Bandicoot 1436099 212.2941176
Second Verse 1476480 240
Pakele 1526269 253.2413793
Southernaire 1542901 276.7058824
Warriors Wish #VALUE! #VALUE!
Name 24hr speed
Bandicoot 5.7
Blue Moon 4.1
Culebra 6.3
Dream Chaser 5.4
Harrier 5.8
Hecla 8.1
Idefix 6.6
Pakele 3.6
Saraband 4.5
Second Verse 4.9
Solar Wind 5.8
Southernaire 4.3
Taz!! 5.9
Warriors Wish
No huge changes since last report. Taz looks to be picking up some speed, and Dream Chaser dropped a couple of spots.
WW went stealth for this report, so can't count him in this report.
Hecla is just a bit over 2 days out.
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix 1059781 90.6835443
Harrier 1089180 148.3165468
Hecla 1140212 56.49230769
Solar Wind 1154485 146.4347826
Culebra 1195240 144.8
Saraband 1214898 192.6605505
Taz!! 1239838 158.3661972
Dream Chaser 1250754 163.7538462
Blue Moon 1432920 282.6666667
Bandicoot 1436099 212.2941176
Second Verse 1476480 240
Pakele 1526269 253.2413793
Southernaire 1542901 276.7058824
Warriors Wish #VALUE! #VALUE!
Name 24hr speed
Bandicoot 5.7
Blue Moon 4.1
Culebra 6.3
Dream Chaser 5.4
Harrier 5.8
Hecla 8.1
Idefix 6.6
Pakele 3.6
Saraband 4.5
Second Verse 4.9
Solar Wind 5.8
Southernaire 4.3
Taz!! 5.9
Warriors Wish
6/30 0900 Predicted standings update
Including WW report this time:
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix 1059781 90.6835443
Harrier 1089180 148.3165468
Hecla 1140212 56.49230769
Solar Wind 1154485 146.4347826
Culebra 1195240 144.8
Saraband 1214898 192.6605505
Taz!! 1239838 158.3661972
Dream Chaser 1250754 163.7538462
Warriors Wish 1255473 130.9090909
Blue Moon 1432920 282.6666667
Bandicoot 1436099 212.2941176
Second Verse 1476480 240
Pakele 1526269 253.2413793
Southernaire 1542901 276.7058824
Including WW report this time:
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix 1059781 90.6835443
Harrier 1089180 148.3165468
Hecla 1140212 56.49230769
Solar Wind 1154485 146.4347826
Culebra 1195240 144.8
Saraband 1214898 192.6605505
Taz!! 1239838 158.3661972
Dream Chaser 1250754 163.7538462
Warriors Wish 1255473 130.9090909
Blue Moon 1432920 282.6666667
Bandicoot 1436099 212.2941176
Second Verse 1476480 240
Pakele 1526269 253.2413793
Southernaire 1542901 276.7058824
6/30 2100 Predicted standings
Idefix still holding on to the lead, but bit of reshuffling in the top as the wind fills in and boats settle on hull speeds. It will be interesting what the 0900 reports looks like, but as the wind settles I wouldn't expect too much movement in the standings.
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix 1033179 71
Saraband 1062408 138
Harrier 1081300 134
Solar Wind 1119090 125
Hecla 1132104 42
Warriors Wish 1176281 97
Dream Chaser 1184966 133
Taz!! 1203283 136
Culebra 1245651 147
Blue Moon 1293720 232
Pakele 1333939 188
Bandicoot 1383001 186
Second Verse 1446736 220
Southernaire 1468884 244
Idefix still holding on to the lead, but bit of reshuffling in the top as the wind fills in and boats settle on hull speeds. It will be interesting what the 0900 reports looks like, but as the wind settles I wouldn't expect too much movement in the standings.
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix 1033179 71
Saraband 1062408 138
Harrier 1081300 134
Solar Wind 1119090 125
Hecla 1132104 42
Warriors Wish 1176281 97
Dream Chaser 1184966 133
Taz!! 1203283 136
Culebra 1245651 147
Blue Moon 1293720 232
Pakele 1333939 188
Bandicoot 1383001 186
Second Verse 1446736 220
Southernaire 1468884 244
7/1 0900 Predicted standings
Things are pretty close. Saraband making a comeback for Corrected honors, only 3 hrs behind Idefix. Talk about two completely different boats duking it out.
The fight for third corrected is just as close with Max going against 'the General'.
Hecla is schedule to finish tomorrow in the early afternoon.
Everybody is now at, or past the midway point. Still a bit of racing to be done.
Speeds are up all along the fleet.
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix 1024737 57
Saraband 1035606 119
Solar Wind 1062942 97
Harrier 1070640 119
Hecla 1122156 27
Dream Chaser 1168768 117
Warriors Wish 1175445 85
Pakele 1215473 143
Culebra 1220757 128
Taz!! 1252143 138
Blue Moon 1276366 215
Southernaire 1353160 200
Bandicoot 1398688 178
Second Verse 1476480 216
Name 24hr speed
Idefix 7.4
Saraband 6.1
Solar Wind 7.0
Harrier 6.0
Hecla 8.9
Dream Chaser 6.3
Warriors Wish 6.6
Pakele 5.5
Culebra 6.0
Taz!! 5.8
Blue Moon 4.9
Southernaire 5.3
Bandicoot 6.0
Second Verse 4.9
Things are pretty close. Saraband making a comeback for Corrected honors, only 3 hrs behind Idefix. Talk about two completely different boats duking it out.
The fight for third corrected is just as close with Max going against 'the General'.
Hecla is schedule to finish tomorrow in the early afternoon.
Everybody is now at, or past the midway point. Still a bit of racing to be done.
Speeds are up all along the fleet.
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix 1024737 57
Saraband 1035606 119
Solar Wind 1062942 97
Harrier 1070640 119
Hecla 1122156 27
Dream Chaser 1168768 117
Warriors Wish 1175445 85
Pakele 1215473 143
Culebra 1220757 128
Taz!! 1252143 138
Blue Moon 1276366 215
Southernaire 1353160 200
Bandicoot 1398688 178
Second Verse 1476480 216
Name 24hr speed
Idefix 7.4
Saraband 6.1
Solar Wind 7.0
Harrier 6.0
Hecla 8.9
Dream Chaser 6.3
Warriors Wish 6.6
Pakele 5.5
Culebra 6.0
Taz!! 5.8
Blue Moon 4.9
Southernaire 5.3
Bandicoot 6.0
Second Verse 4.9
7/1 2100 Predicted standings
Hecla has put a couple of consecutive days of 200+ miles. She is due to arrive today.
Saraband getting that much closer to the big prize. She is less than an hour from getting corrected honors and Idefix is already pushing pretty hard with a 24hr average of 7.4 knots! But Saraband is pushing a cool 6.3, who is the WetSnail now??
Harrier and SolarWind traded places, the General now with a 4 hr lead for third place overall.
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix 1023028 44
Saraband 1025896 104
Harrier 1074546 108
Solar Wind 1090335 93
Hecla 1125556 16
Warriors Wish 1161480 69
Dream Chaser 1169055 105
Culebra 1184277 106
Pakele 1216127 131
Taz!! 1286911 135
Blue Moon 1308634 212
Southernaire 1357274 189
Bandicoot 1369462 158
Second Verse 1487652 207
Name 24hr speed
Idefix 7.4
Saraband 6.3
Solar Wind 6.0
Harrier 6.5
Hecla 8.7
Dream Chaser 6.9
Warriors Wish 6.3
Pakele 6.5
Culebra 5.5
Taz!! 5.4
Blue Moon 4.7
Southernaire 5.3
Bandicoot 6.2
Second Verse 4.8
Hecla has put a couple of consecutive days of 200+ miles. She is due to arrive today.
Saraband getting that much closer to the big prize. She is less than an hour from getting corrected honors and Idefix is already pushing pretty hard with a 24hr average of 7.4 knots! But Saraband is pushing a cool 6.3, who is the WetSnail now??
Harrier and SolarWind traded places, the General now with a 4 hr lead for third place overall.
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix 1023028 44
Saraband 1025896 104
Harrier 1074546 108
Solar Wind 1090335 93
Hecla 1125556 16
Warriors Wish 1161480 69
Dream Chaser 1169055 105
Culebra 1184277 106
Pakele 1216127 131
Taz!! 1286911 135
Blue Moon 1308634 212
Southernaire 1357274 189
Bandicoot 1369462 158
Second Verse 1487652 207
Name 24hr speed
Idefix 7.4
Saraband 6.3
Solar Wind 6.0
Harrier 6.5
Hecla 8.7
Dream Chaser 6.9
Warriors Wish 6.3
Pakele 6.5
Culebra 5.5
Taz!! 5.4
Blue Moon 4.7
Southernaire 5.3
Bandicoot 6.2
Second Verse 4.8
7/2 0900 Predicted standings
CHANGE IN THE LEADER BOARD. Will see if Saraband break in the boom becomes an impediment or if he is able to affect a prompt repair.
Saraband with a 5 minute lead in corrected. Are you kidding me? After 1800 nm of racing... Go skippers, no time to rest now...
Max got a 1/2 hour back on the general, now 3.6 hours behind. Still some racecourse left for another close battle.
No update from WW.
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Saraband 1018826 90
Idefix 1019105 31
Harrier 1076682 97
Solar Wind 1089978 81
Hecla 1134067 7
Dream Chaser 1165998 92
Culebra 1199272 98
Pakele 1211605 118
Taz!! 1259384 116
Blue Moon 1276366 191
Bandicoot 1345317 139
Southernaire 1422030 195
Second Verse 1483126 194
Warriors Wish
Name 24hr speed
Saraband 6.4
Idefix 7.6
Harrier 5.9
Solar Wind 6.5
Hecla 8.0
Dream Chaser 6.3
Culebra 6.3
Pakele 5.5
Taz!! 5.7
Blue Moon 4.9
Bandicoot 6.5
Southernaire 4.8
Second Verse 4.9
Warriors Wish
CHANGE IN THE LEADER BOARD. Will see if Saraband break in the boom becomes an impediment or if he is able to affect a prompt repair.
Saraband with a 5 minute lead in corrected. Are you kidding me? After 1800 nm of racing... Go skippers, no time to rest now...
Max got a 1/2 hour back on the general, now 3.6 hours behind. Still some racecourse left for another close battle.
No update from WW.
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Saraband 1018826 90
Idefix 1019105 31
Harrier 1076682 97
Solar Wind 1089978 81
Hecla 1134067 7
Dream Chaser 1165998 92
Culebra 1199272 98
Pakele 1211605 118
Taz!! 1259384 116
Blue Moon 1276366 191
Bandicoot 1345317 139
Southernaire 1422030 195
Second Verse 1483126 194
Warriors Wish
Name 24hr speed
Saraband 6.4
Idefix 7.6
Harrier 5.9
Solar Wind 6.5
Hecla 8.0
Dream Chaser 6.3
Culebra 6.3
Pakele 5.5
Taz!! 5.7
Blue Moon 4.9
Bandicoot 6.5
Southernaire 4.8
Second Verse 4.9
Warriors Wish
On a lighter note from blackened eyes and broken booms, last night I spoke via ham w/ Herbie on the Half Way Barge (AKA Ocean Station November.)
He wanted the Fleet to know how much he enjoyed meeting everyone as they rafted up for their gratis 3 hours when passing halfway.
If you haven't experienced Herbie's hot showers, berry smoothies, garlic fries, and Brooklyn sliders, all the more reason to do the '12 Race.
Herbie is now replenishing for the Pac Cup and Vic Maui racers which will be coming thru shortly. Then he'll take his barge to position 37N x 140W for the fleet returning to the Mainland.
PS, Herbie said he had some great pics of AJ on the jet ski.
Onward
He wanted the Fleet to know how much he enjoyed meeting everyone as they rafted up for their gratis 3 hours when passing halfway.
If you haven't experienced Herbie's hot showers, berry smoothies, garlic fries, and Brooklyn sliders, all the more reason to do the '12 Race.
Herbie is now replenishing for the Pac Cup and Vic Maui racers which will be coming thru shortly. Then he'll take his barge to position 37N x 140W for the fleet returning to the Mainland.
PS, Herbie said he had some great pics of AJ on the jet ski.
Onward
7/2 2100 Predicted standings
More shuffling in the front, still a tough fight for first and third corrected.
Hecla has finished and Idefix should finish late today.
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix 1028646 22
Saraband 1038826 84
Solar Wind 1072149 64
Harrier 1074546 84
Hecla Finished
Warriors Wish 1144688 40
Dream Chaser 1179346 84
Culebra 1196968 85
Pakele 1216127 107
Taz!! 1251832 102
Blue Moon 1295236 184
Bandicoot 1365649 133
Southernaire 1478184 199
Second Verse 1557989 203
Name 24hr speed
Idefix 7.1
Saraband 6.0
Solar Wind 6.9
Harrier 6.0
Hecla 6.0
Warriors Wish 7.4
Dream Chaser 6.1
Culebra 6.3
Pakele 5.5
Taz!! 5.8
Blue Moon 4.8
Bandicoot 6.2
Southernaire 4.5
Second Verse 4.4
More shuffling in the front, still a tough fight for first and third corrected.
Hecla has finished and Idefix should finish late today.
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix 1028646 22
Saraband 1038826 84
Solar Wind 1072149 64
Harrier 1074546 84
Hecla Finished
Warriors Wish 1144688 40
Dream Chaser 1179346 84
Culebra 1196968 85
Pakele 1216127 107
Taz!! 1251832 102
Blue Moon 1295236 184
Bandicoot 1365649 133
Southernaire 1478184 199
Second Verse 1557989 203
Name 24hr speed
Idefix 7.1
Saraband 6.0
Solar Wind 6.9
Harrier 6.0
Hecla 6.0
Warriors Wish 7.4
Dream Chaser 6.1
Culebra 6.3
Pakele 5.5
Taz!! 5.8
Blue Moon 4.8
Bandicoot 6.2
Southernaire 4.5
Second Verse 4.4
Last edited by a moderator:
Jonathan Gutoff
New member
Whose hallucinating now?
BobJ
Alerion 38 "Surprise!"
Comment on Finish Times
Travieso:
"Final finish times will not be posted until all competitors have finished. The thought is that it might give the folks racing an unfair advantage. I'm not sure I follow, but I'm just the messenger."
More to keep the guys on the course motivated (i.e. 'I might as well take it easy - I can't beat xyz anyway').
Idefix finished Saturday during Tree time and Ronnie finished about an hour ago. Ronnie (the Marine) finished on Independence Day under masthead kite on a stunning day in Hanalei Bay. It doesn't get any better than that!"
Travieso:
"Final finish times will not be posted until all competitors have finished. The thought is that it might give the folks racing an unfair advantage. I'm not sure I follow, but I'm just the messenger."
More to keep the guys on the course motivated (i.e. 'I might as well take it easy - I can't beat xyz anyway').
Idefix finished Saturday during Tree time and Ronnie finished about an hour ago. Ronnie (the Marine) finished on Independence Day under masthead kite on a stunning day in Hanalei Bay. It doesn't get any better than that!"
Last edited:
7/5 2100 Predicted standings
Sorry for the gap, been doing a little traveling myself. Here are my predicted standings. Finish times are excluded from the report. I don't know SW actual finish time so his position might be a bit off.
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix finished
Saraband 1065232 19
Harrier 1078849 13
Solar Wind finished
Hecla finished
Warriors Wish finished
Culebra 1207171 16
Taz!! 1243416 27
Dream Chaser 1269300 37
Pakele 1306211 60
Blue Moon 1380993 136
Bandicoot 1388083 67
Southernaire 1401277 105
Second Verse 1562065 132
Sorry for the gap, been doing a little traveling myself. Here are my predicted standings. Finish times are excluded from the report. I don't know SW actual finish time so his position might be a bit off.
24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
Idefix finished
Saraband 1065232 19
Harrier 1078849 13
Solar Wind finished
Hecla finished
Warriors Wish finished
Culebra 1207171 16
Taz!! 1243416 27
Dream Chaser 1269300 37
Pakele 1306211 60
Blue Moon 1380993 136
Bandicoot 1388083 67
Southernaire 1401277 105
Second Verse 1562065 132